Issue 2 Nov 6 2025 5 min read

Sales outpaced new listings this week.

Negotiation still looked alive this week.

Buyer Seller
6 / 10

Balanced market.

2  new listings10  salesmedian sold $520, 6944  over ask6  under ask1  price cutmedian cut $15, 001
7  expired, 1  cancelled
Local real estate intelligence - weekly.

Signal of the Week

2  new listings - 10  sales (median sold $520, 694)

Market pulse

These charts show where the market stood at the date of issue - inventory, then sales momentum.

Inventory

111 current

High 136 · Low 5.00

Inventory

111 homes on market

Supply is running above last year, giving buyers more room to compare and negotiate.

6-month view

In this view: High 136 · Low 5 · Avg 111

Current snapshot: Current 111 · Vs last year ↑ 5% · 82% of cycle high

Low Inventory cycle High

Sales

5.38 8-week avg

High 5.38 · Low 1.50

Sales

5.375 sales/week

Demand is present, but absorption remains light relative to available supply.

3-year view

In this view: Avg 5.375 · Absorption 5% · Range high 0

Current snapshot: 8-week avg 5.375 · Vs last year ↑ 10% · Buyer market pressure is light.

Sales that explain the market

Sales happened - but they did not come easily.

Buyers are still active, but they are choosing carefully. The right listings still move, while others need more time or a sharper number.

Some outcomes are happening, but only after patience gets tested. That supports a more patient, price-sensitive tone overall. The market is still asking listings to prove their value. 4 sold over ask while 6 sold under ask. Median sold price was $520,694. The board is showing where value is getting tested. That reflects a market where value has to be proven. Listings that start too high may need to correct before momentum builds. A visible price cut showed up on the board this week. 1 visible price cut landed this week. Median cut: $15,001. Largest cut: $15,001.

Price cuts this week

Fernie is its own market, but I still keep an eye on the broader financing backdrop because buyers do feel it.

  • BoC rate: As of 2025-11-07, the Bank of Canada policy rate was 2.25%, which matters most for variable-rate borrowers and helps shape borrowing confidence.
  • Bond yields: Canada’s 5-year bond yield remains the main fixed-mortgage watch, and it had moved sideways versus about a month earlier.
  • Oil / inflation mood: Oil was quiet into the week, so it was not adding much inflation pressure.

This keeps the backdrop tied to the week ending 2025-11-07, not today’s headlines.

New listings

Start with supply. That matters because buyers are still deciding, not reacting. That is what the market then has to respond to.

If you want the tone of the week, start with what hit the board. That matters because not every active week is an easy one.

I usually start with new inventory because it sets the pace for everything that follows.

19-5423 Boomerang Way $629,900

What I’m seeing

The market stayed active, but it did not feel generous. 2 new listings arrived while 10 sales closed. The board is clearing more efficiently than it has in recent weeks. 4 sold over ask while 6 sold under ask. Taken together, this was a market that stayed active, but only rewarded listings that were positioned correctly. A visible price cut showed up on the board this week.

Inventory can rise without producing immediate absorption. It usually means buyers feel less pressure to force a decision. The cleanest setups still earn the first serious looks. Sellers still need discipline, but the better listings have more room to succeed. The best listings can still create momentum when they arrive clean. This week added evidence more than it added a new direction. Supply is still there, buyers are still selective, and sellers still have to earn attention. If the tone changes, it will likely show up first in pricing behaviour.

That is the part of the week I’d pay attention to.

The goal here is simple - make the weekly market signal easier to read without pretending every week says the same thing.

If you want the blunt version on Fernie, I’m always happy to talk through what I’m seeing.

Where sellers blinked

The softest part of the week showed up in pricing behaviour. That is where discipline gets tested fastest. That gives a better read on seller pressure than inventory alone.

A visible price cut showed up on the board this week.

If there was softness this week, it showed up here. This is one of the better places to see whether sellers are still pushing - or starting to listen.

  • 1 visible price cut this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 1.0% of active listings
  • Median reduction: $15,001

Pressure on the board

  • 35 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 35.7% of the current active board
  • Expired / cancelled this week: 8 (7 expired, 1 cancelled)
  • 4-week average: 0.8 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.8 cuts/week

This week’s cuts to watch

That tends to happen when comparison shopping is doing real work. Listings that align sooner should have the better chance of regaining momentum.

What I’d keep an eye on

Whether this new inventory gets absorbed cleanly.

If absorption stays this firm, the better-positioned listings may not wait around for second looks. If it slips, that firmer tone probably fades quickly once more supply shows up.

Data notes. Data sourced from MLS activity for the week ending Nov 6 2025. Numbers reflect the Fernie market unless otherwise noted.